Possible scenario
Rapid Weakening
28% Chance
Wind shear, cooler water or terrain interaction weaken Polo significantly before landfall. The storm still brings dangerous surf and flooding, but the economic damage is mostly localized and short-lived.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- H+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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