Possible scenario
Los Cabos Hit
40% Chance
Polo reaches Baja California Sur close to the Los Cabos tourism corridor, likely after some weakening from peak Category 5 intensity. Wind damage, coastal flooding, airport closures and hotel evacuations become the main near-term consequences.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.6%
- Finance -0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
Tickers
- -0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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