Possible scenario
Orderly Recovery Succeeds
46% Chance
Bitget completes the immediate liquidity transfer without renewed wallet drains, and customer withdrawals normalize over the next 24-48 hours. The exchange frames the $169 million hot-wallet move as part of a controlled recovery plan after the $388 million exploit.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- COIN+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.