Possible scenario
Safeguard Delay Compromise
45% Chance
The most likely path is that the federal government keeps rejecting a categorical ban while extending or narrowing implementation through additional safeguards. This preserves the Supreme Court-era rights framework around MAID while responding to provincial, psychiatric, and disability-rights objections.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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