Possible scenario
Limited Eligibility Proceeds
20% Chance
A narrower but real eligibility pathway could begin if Ottawa concludes that years of expert-panel work and assessor training are sufficient. The result would be a tightly controlled rollout with low case numbers and heavy reporting requirements.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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