Possible scenario
Republicans Overtake Late
31% Chance
Republicans convert strong in-person voting into a late statewide lead, making the Democratic mail advantage insufficient. This outcome would mirror the GOP's strength in rural Nevada and depend on a large Election Day turnout advantage.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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