Possible scenario
Ramaswamy Narrow Victory
35% Chance
Vivek Ramaswamy overtakes Acton in the final stretch as Republican turnout normalizes and undecided voters lean right. The toss-up rating captures a race that tightens sharply after Acton’s earlier lead.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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