Possible scenario
Race Remains Uncalled
12% Chance
The race is so close that absentee ballots, provisional ballots, and county canvasses determine the winner. A recount or near-recount scenario becomes plausible, extending uncertainty for days or weeks.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.