Acton Narrow Victory

Amy Acton converts her late-September polling edge into a narrow general-election win, helped by suburban voters, abortion-rights salience, and residual skepticism toward Vivek Ramaswamy. The toss-up rating proves accurate, but the final movement breaks slightly toward Democrats.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.