Possible scenario
Wider Trail Closures
20% Chance
Officials determine that bridges, lodges and trail sections are unsafe across parts of Gorkha and nearby routes. The government temporarily restricts trekking permits, directly affecting Nepal's peak autumn tourism season.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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