Diplomatic Containment

Zelensky's accusation leads to coordinated Western statements and new evidence-sharing, but Washington and Brussels avoid measures that would directly punish Beijing or New Delhi. This is the most likely path because the U.S. and EU still need India as a strategic partner and want to avoid a broader trade rupture with China.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.