Possible scenario
Manageable Regional Disruption
45% Chance
The storm tracks close enough to produce heavy rain, gusty winds, airport delays, and scattered outages, but moves quickly enough to avoid a regionwide disaster. This is the base case because September nor'easters can be disruptive while still remaining below the threshold for major insurance or macroeconomic damage.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.6%
- Consumer Services -0.4%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.2%
- Finance -0.2%
- Industrials -0.2%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
- Telecommunications -0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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