Possible scenario
Network Launches Gradually
42% Chance
The $410 million pledge is implemented through bilateral agreements, but actual deportation volumes ramp slowly as recipient countries demand funding, documentation, and security guarantees. The administration claims progress while operational constraints keep the program below its headline ambition.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.2%
- Industrials +0.2%
Tickers
- GEO+1.8%
- CXW+1.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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