Possible scenario
Upgrade Timing Slips
20% Chance
Ethereum developers decide that Teku's lag warrants extra Sepolia testing before proceeding to later testnet or mainnet milestones. The delay is modest, but it weakens near-term confidence in the 200M gas-limit timeline.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-0.6%
- GLXY-0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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