Possible scenario
Energy Supply Disruption
25% Chance
Isaias disrupts offshore Gulf of Mexico production, ports, and fuel logistics before or during landfall. The effect is most visible in crude prices and energy equities, though the short time horizon limits the expected magnitude.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.5%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.2%
- Industrials -0.2%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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