Possible scenario
Cat 3 Coastal Hit
45% Chance
Isaias comes ashore near the Alabama-Florida line as a Category 3 hurricane, producing destructive but geographically concentrated wind, surge, and power outages. This is the baseline because the storm is already Category 3 and landfall is imminent, limiting time for a major track change.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -1.1%
- Consumer Services -0.6%
- Finance -0.5%
Tickers
- SO-1.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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