Possible scenario
Rogers Rebounds Late
25% Chance
Mike Rogers narrows the race by emphasizing national security, inflation, and El-Sayed's progressive record. Republican turnout improves in Macomb, Kent, and rural northern counties, making the race a true toss-up by Election Day.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
- Healthcare +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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