Possible scenario
El-Sayed Holds Lead
45% Chance
Abdul El-Sayed remains the favorite after consecutive polls show him ahead of Mike Rogers. Democratic consolidation after Kamala Harris's endorsement and strong margins in Wayne, Washtenaw, and Oakland counties keep him narrowly in front.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare -0.2%
- Energy -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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