Possible scenario
Opposition Pressure Builds
20% Chance
The CHP and other opposition parties try to move the scandal from parliament into courts, municipal councils, and street politics. Public pressure could force more disclosure, but it could also prompt the government to restrict protests or media coverage.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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