Possible scenario
Continuity Coalition Forms
45% Chance
Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri quickly builds a governing majority around PAM, RNI and Istiqlal, preserving Morocco's pro-investment policy line. The palace keeps strategic control over foreign policy, infrastructure and security, limiting policy uncertainty despite the historic appointment.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.4%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.3%
- Consumer Services +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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