Possible scenario
Momentum Cools
25% Chance
A plausible downside path is that the first-half surge proves difficult to repeat as volatility normalizes and client activity moderates. Profits still remain historically high, but investors trim expectations for 2027 earnings growth.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.7%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- GS-1.7%
- -1.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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