Possible scenario
Talarico Breaks Through
28% Chance
Talarico successfully reframes Paxton’s attack as bullying and uses the Fox debate to introduce himself to moderate suburban voters. The race becomes nationally watched as Democrats argue Texas is more competitive than recent Senate results suggest.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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