Possible scenario
Race Nationalizes Fully
20% Chance
Outside groups on both sides treat the Texas race as a possible Senate-control contest. The campaign shifts from Paxton-versus-Talarico biography to national arguments over Trump, judges, immigration, energy, and abortion.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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