Possible scenario
Petition Is Denied
45% Chance
The most likely outcome is that the DC Circuit declines to rehear the case, leaving the Pentagon's national-security-risk label in place. Courts rarely grant rehearing after a panel has already upheld an agency security determination, especially where classified or procurement-sensitive judgments are involved.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- PLTR+1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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