Possible scenario
Partial Compromise
25% Chance
Political parties accept that the fund should not treat all defense exposure as unethical, but they narrow the practical investable universe. The result is a compromise that favors European NATO-linked contractors and companies with strong compliance systems, while keeping many controversial weapons and conflict-linked issuers off limits.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.4%
Tickers
- NOC+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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