Possible scenario
Trade Dispute Escalates
20% Chance
The case becomes part of a larger U.S.-EU argument over digital regulation, with Washington framing the DSA as discriminatory against American firms. Markets treat it as a sector-specific trade risk rather than a broad macro shock.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.1%
- Consumer Services -0.7%
Tickers
- META-1.8%
- -0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.6%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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