Possible scenario
Political Oversight Fight
20% Chance
The halt becomes a state-level political issue, with Republican lawmakers, Democrats, prosecutors, and victims' families pressing Lee and TDOC for explanations. The debate is likely intense locally but has little financial-market relevance.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.