Possible scenario
Unrest drives retail losses
20% Chance
The platform issue remains tied to the underlying public-order problem after rioting and store looting in Limoges. Retailers, insurers and local authorities focus on recovering stolen inventory and preventing further resale.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.6%
- Technology -0.3%
- Finance -0.2%
Tickers
- EBAY-0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.