Possible scenario
Appeal Narrows Order
26% Chance
The Justice Department appeals and wins a partial procedural reprieve, arguing that the lower court order is too broad or that plaintiffs lack standing on some claims. This does not fully resolve control of the U.S. Institute of Peace, but it gives the administration more room to maneuver.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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