Possible scenario
Regulators Slow Launch
20% Chance
Regulators may decide that AI compute futures need stronger surveillance, deliverability definitions and position-limit rules before trading scales. This would delay the market without ending the broader push to financialize compute capacity.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.3%
- Finance -0.3%
Tickers
- BGC-1.9%
- CME-1.0%
- NVDA-0.2%
- ADM-0.2%
- -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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