Possible scenario
Protests Escalate Locally
22% Chance
Protests expand beyond the initial vehicle blockade as activists focus on the child-in-car detail and the revived arrest quota. The most likely disruption is local and political rather than market-moving, centered on New York streets, courthouses, and federal facilities.
Tickers
- GEO+0.4%
- CXW+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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