Possible scenario
Trump Intervention Dominates
20% Chance
The race becomes increasingly nationalized around Donald Trump’s personal endorsement of Byron Donalds. This helps energize Republicans but also gives Democrats a clearer turnout message in suburban counties.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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