Possible scenario
Center-right coalition forms
43% Chance
Andris Kulbergs uses United List's record seat count to form a pro-EU, pro-NATO center-right coalition. This is the most likely outcome because Latvian parties have strong incentives to keep pro-Kremlin forces out of government while translating the United List win into cabinet influence.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.4%
- Finance +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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