Possible scenario
Iran Retaliates Diplomatically
25% Chance
Iran uses the incident to accuse Israel and the United States of violating sovereignty through communications technology. The response is mainly diplomatic and domestic-security focused, with limited near-term market consequences.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Telecommunications -0.1%
Tickers
- SPCX-0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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