Possible scenario
Legal Fallout Widens
18% Chance
The aftermath shifts from street politics to investigations, civil-rights complaints, and disputes over police tactics. Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg, NYPD, and protest attorneys become central actors, but financial-market relevance remains negligible.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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