Possible scenario
Law Passes Intact
42% Chance
Parliament broadly accepts Ottawa's draft one-year review limit, framing it as a direct response to the Supreme Court's 2023 Impact Assessment Act ruling and years of investor complaints. The government preserves federal oversight but narrows timelines enough to improve sentiment toward Canadian energy, mining and infrastructure projects.
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +0.9%
- Energy +0.7%
- Utilities +0.3%
- Industrials +0.2%
Tickers
- TECK.A+1.9%
- CCO+1.4%
- +1.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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