Possible scenario
Closure Ends Oct 17
45% Chance
Saudi authorities keep King Khalid International Airport closed through the announced date, repair damaged terminal areas, and restore limited commercial operations. The Houthis claim success but do not immediately follow with another effective strike on Riyadh.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.