Possible scenario
Ads Dent Graham
34% Chance
New Deal for All's television buy lands at a sensitive moment after polling showed Darline Graham ahead of Andrews by only 1.1%. If the ads credibly connect Graham to unpopular national Republican positions or donor controversies, undecided suburban and moderate voters could move away from her.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.