Possible scenario
Protests Escalate Locally
18% Chance
The combination of the funeral, the lawsuit, and Trump’s remarks triggers larger demonstrations around Haitian immigrant communities and ICE facilities. The unrest is disruptive locally but does not rise to a national market-moving event.
Tickers
- GEO+0.1%
- CXW+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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