Possible scenario
Response Contains Damage
25% Chance
Emergency pumps, drainage canals and river barriers prevent the storm from producing a step-change in damage. The death toll still rises modestly, but airports, hospitals and major commercial districts continue operating with intermittent disruption.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.