Possible scenario
Late Donor Rescue
25% Chance
A smaller donor group decides the PAC is still useful for influencing midterm races despite the reputational setback from Brockman's reversal. The rescue is likely to be narrower, more discreet, and more focused on specific House races than the original plan.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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