Contained Base Incident

The most likely outcome is that U.S. Air Forces in Europe and the U.K. Ministry of Defence treat the incident as a serious but contained air-base security breach. Mildenhall evacuations remain precautionary, no aircraft are damaged, and operations gradually normalize after counter-drone sweeps.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.