Possible scenario
Rapid Containment
45% Chance
Kenya's Ministry of Health, Africa CDC and WHO teams rapidly identify passengers, airport staff and health workers exposed to the deceased traveler. The most likely path is a contained imported case because Ebola transmission requires close contact and Kenya has already been alerted by Congo's larger outbreak.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare +0.2%
- Consumer Services +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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