Possible scenario
Revocations Continue
35% Chance
The administration proceeds with the additional visa cancellations and relies on broad statutory discretion over consular and immigration decisions. Courts allow much of the program to continue while litigation moves slowly, making this the single most likely path after an already large wave of revocations.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.5%
- Technology -0.3%
- Business Services -0.2%
Tickers
- -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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