Possible scenario
Rule Finalized Intact
35% Chance
The administration proceeds with a final rule that largely ends the 60-day grace period for laid-off H-1B workers. Given the prior $100,000 fee, wage-rule push, and broader overhaul, the policy direction is consistent with a restrictive labor-market agenda.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services -2.0%
- Technology -1.4%
- Industrials -0.2%
Tickers
- CTSH-3.3%
- MSFT-0.6%
- ACN-0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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