Possible scenario
Valuation Gets Repriced
25% Chance
Investors balk at the jump from the February $730 billion valuation to $1.4 trillion, especially given infrastructure costs and uncertain margins. OpenAI still raises capital, but at a lower valuation or with a smaller first tranche.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.7%
- Utilities -0.2%
- Business Services -0.2%
Tickers
- ORCL-2.3%
- MSFT-1.6%
- NVDA-1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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