Possible scenario
BoE Stays Hawkish
40% Chance
Markets treat Ramsden's comments as a credible signal that the Monetary Policy Committee is not ready to discuss easing and may keep restrictive policy in place well into 2027. Sticky services inflation and strong wage growth remain the key reasons this is the most likely path.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.8%
- Technology -0.6%
- Finance -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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