Possible scenario
Courts Limit Order
25% Chance
Universities, business groups, and immigration lawyers challenge the order under the Administrative Procedure Act and immigration statutes. After the June 2026 ruling against the $100,000 fee, courts are a credible constraint on any provision that effectively rewrites eligibility or costs without notice-and-comment rulemaking.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +1.1%
- Technology +0.6%
- Healthcare +0.2%
Tickers
- CTSH+2.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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