Possible scenario
Controversy Burns Out
22% Chance
The viral clip peaks quickly and is overtaken by more conventional campaign issues, including prices, auto jobs, healthcare, and abortion. Trump continues attacking El-Sayed, but the remarks stop moving voters after the initial media cycle.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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