Possible scenario
Backlash Boosts El-Sayed
38% Chance
Trump's repeated use of 'jihadist' and Muslim Brotherhood allegations is framed by Democrats, civil-rights groups, and much of Michigan media as anti-Muslim bigotry. El-Sayed's town hall disavowal gives him a clear rebuttal, helping him consolidate Democratic voters and retain a polling lead.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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